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Journal articles
Prediction, assessment of the Rift Valley fever activity in East and Southern Africa 2006-2008 and possible vector control strategies.
Assaf Anyamba
1, *
Kenneth J Linthicum
2
Jennifer Small
1
Seth C Britch
1
Edwin Pak
1
Stephane de la Rocque
3
Pierre Formenty
4
Allen W Hightower
5
Robert F Breiman
5
Jean-Paul Chretien
6
Compton J Tucker
1
David Schnabel
7
Rosemary Sang
8
Karl Haagsma
9
Mark Latham
10
Henry B Lewandowski
11
Salih Osman Magdi
12
Mohamed Ally Mohamed
13
Patrick M Nguku
14
Jean-Marc Reynes
15
Robert Swanepoel
16
*
Corresponding author
Assaf Anyamba 1
Mail :
Correspondent author
Kenneth J Linthicum 2
Author
Jennifer Small 1
Author
Seth C Britch 1
Author
Edwin Pak 1
Author
Stephane de la Rocque 3
Author
Pierre Formenty 4
Author
Allen W Hightower 5
Author
Robert F Breiman 5
Author
Jean-Paul Chretien 6
Author
Compton J Tucker 1
Author
David Schnabel 7
Author
Salih Osman Magdi 12
Author
Mohamed Ally Mohamed 13
Author
Patrick M Nguku 14
Author
Jean-Marc Reynes 15
Author
Robert Swanepoel 16
Author
1
GSFC - NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (Greenbelt, MD 20771 - United States)
2
USDA-ARS Center for Medical, Agricultural and Veterinary Entomology (Gainesville - United States)
- USDA-ARS : Agricultural Research Service (United States)
3
AGAH - EMPRES/Animal Production and Health Division (Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, Rome - Italy)
4
HSE/GAR - Global Alert and Response Department (Genève - Switzerland)
- OMS / WHO - Organisation Mondiale de la Santé / World Health Organization Office (Genève - Switzerland)
5
KEMRI-CDC - Kenya Medical Research Unit (Nairobi - Kenya)
- KEMRI - Kenya Medical Research Institute (Kenya Medical Research Institute, P.O. Box 54840 00200 Off Mbagathi Road. Nairobi, Kenya. - Kenya)
6
Division of Preventive Medicine (Silver Spring - United States)
- Walter Reed Army Institute of Research (503 Robert Grant Ave, Silver Spring, MD 20910, États-Unis - United States)
7
United States Army Medical Research Unit-Kenya (Nairobi - Kenya)
- USAMRD-K - United States Army Medical Research Directorate [Kenya] (Kenya Medical Research Institute, P.O. Box 54840 00200 Off Mbagathi Road. Nairobi, Kenya. - Kenya)
8
KEMRI - Kenya Medical Research Institute (Kenya Medical Research Institute, P.O. Box 54840 00200 Off Mbagathi Road. Nairobi, Kenya. - Kenya)
9
757th Airlift Squadron (Vienna, Ohio - United States)
- Youngstown Air Reserve Station (Vienna, OH 44473, États-Unis - United States)
11
Chatham County Mosquito Control (Savannah, GA - United States)
- Chatham County Mosquito Control (France)
13
Ministry of Health and Social Welfare (Dar es Salaam - Tanzania)
14
Division of Communicable Disease Control (Nairobi - Kenya)
- Ministry of Health [Mozambique] (Mozambique)
15
Institut Pasteur de Madagascar (B.P. 1274 Antananarivo - Madagascar)
- RIIP - Réseau International des Instituts Pasteur (25, rue du Dr Roux 75724 Paris Cedex 15 - France)
16
NICD - National Institute for Communicable Diseases [Johannesburg] (Johannesburg - South Africa)
Abstract : Historical outbreaks of Rift Valley fever (RVF) since the early 1950s have been associated with cyclical patterns of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, which results in elevated and widespread rainfall over the RVF endemic areas of Africa. Using satellite measurements of global and regional elevated sea surface temperatures, elevated rainfall, and satellite derived-normalized difference vegetation index data, we predicted with lead times of 2-4 months areas where outbreaks of RVF in humans and animals were expected and occurred in the Horn of Africa, Sudan, and Southern Africa at different time periods from September 2006 to March 2008. Predictions were confirmed by entomological field investigations of virus activity and by reported cases of RVF in human and livestock populations. This represents the first series of prospective predictions of RVF outbreaks and provides a baseline for improved early warning, control, response planning, and mitigation into the future.
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https://hal-riip.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-00595489
Contributor : Jean-Marc Reynes <>
Submitted on : Tuesday, May 24, 2011 - 8:04:57 PM
Last modification on : Thursday, June 4, 2020 - 2:38:02 PM
Contributor : Jean-Marc Reynes <>
Submitted on : Tuesday, May 24, 2011 - 8:04:57 PM
Last modification on : Thursday, June 4, 2020 - 2:38:02 PM
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Identifiers
- HAL Id : pasteur-00595489, version 1
- PUBMED : 20682905
- DOI : 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0289
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Citation
Assaf Anyamba, Kenneth J Linthicum, Jennifer Small, Seth C Britch, Edwin Pak, et al.. Prediction, assessment of the Rift Valley fever activity in East and Southern Africa 2006-2008 and possible vector control strategies.. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2010, 83 (2 Suppl), pp.43-51. ⟨10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0289⟩. ⟨pasteur-00595489⟩
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